Bristol City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1909 |
PNE
3 - 0
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1909 |
BRI
0 - 0
TOT
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 2
BRI
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
BRI
4 - 1
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1909 |
BBU
5 - 2
BRI
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1909 |
NOT
0 - 0
SHW
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1909 |
NOT
5 - 1
ARS
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1909 |
BRA
2 - 1
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1909 |
NOT
3 - 2
MUD
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
EVE
2 - 0
NOT
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |