Bristol City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1907 |
BRI
2 - 0
SHW
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
DER
1 - 3
BRI
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
LIV
2 - 4
BRI
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
BRI
2 - 4
ASV
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1907 |
BRI
1 - 2
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 0
LIV
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
4 - 1
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
ASV
0 - 0
NOT
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 2
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |