Bristol City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 2
BOU
18%
24%
59%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
POS
2 - 3
BRI
49%
24%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 0
BRI
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 1
FUL
20%
26%
55%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
QPR
1 - 2
BRI
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NTT
2 - 1
BPO
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BIR
0 - 3
NTT
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
NTT
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NTT
1 - 1
MIL
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
HUR
0 - 2
NTT
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |