EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-2
Bristol City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
SCU
1 - 2
BRI
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
NTT
2 - 1
BRI
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
BRI
0 - 0
MIL
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
BRI
5 - 2
BPO
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
BRI
1 - 1
BCF
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
NTT
1 - 1
WOL
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
NTT
2 - 1
BRI
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
SWI
0 - 0
NTT
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
NTT
4 - 1
WAL
62%
22%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
MAC
1 - 0
NTT
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |