Bristol City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
OLD
1 - 0
BRI
60%
20%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
BBU
2 - 0
BRI
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
BRI
0 - 2
BRA
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
ARS
3 - 0
BRI
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
BRI
1 - 1
SUN
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
EVE
2 - 1
NTT
77%
14%
10%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
NTT
0 - 1
SHW
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1911 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1911 |
BBU
4 - 1
NTT
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
NTT
0 - 0
MAC
58%
21%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |