Bristol City vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
BRI
2 - 0
TRA
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
PLY
2 - 0
BRI
51%
25%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
BRI
3 - 0
WYC
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
WIG
2 - 0
BRI
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
BRE
1 - 0
BRI
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 0
BAR
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
CHE
4 - 0
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
NOR
0 - 1
BPO
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOR
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
WYC
1 - 1
NOR
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |