Bristol City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1910 |
BRI
3 - 2
OLD
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
BRI
2 - 2
SHW
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
EVE
4 - 3
BRI
75%
14%
10%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1910 |
BRI
2 - 1
MAC
47%
24%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1910 |
NTT
3 - 3
BRI
67%
18%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1910 |
SHW
0 - 2
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
65%
20%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
MAC
2 - 0
NEW
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1910 |
NEW
4 - 1
NTT
70%
17%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1910 |
BBU
3 - 1
NEW
42%
24%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |