Bristol City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1910 |
MID
0 - 0
BRI
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1910 |
BRI
1 - 0
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1910 |
BOL
4 - 2
BRI
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1910 |
BRI
0 - 1
ARS
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1910 |
BRI
2 - 1
MUD
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1910 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAR
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1910 |
NEW
1 - 3
LIV
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1910 |
NEW
1 - 0
SUN
65%
19%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1910 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1910 |
NOT
2 - 2
NEW
39%
25%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |