Bristol City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1909 |
BBU
5 - 2
BRI
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
BRI
1 - 1
SHW
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1909 |
BRI
1 - 1
BCF
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
BRA
3 - 1
BRI
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1909 |
BRI
1 - 0
MAC
50%
22%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
MID
5 - 2
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
SHW
1 - 5
MID
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
MID
0 - 2
SHE
62%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
NTT
4 - 1
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
MID
1 - 0
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |