Bristol City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
PNE
2 - 1
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
SHW
2 - 0
BRI
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
BRI
3 - 3
NEW
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
NOT
0 - 1
BRI
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
BRI
2 - 1
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
MID
0 - 0
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
NOT
3 - 2
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
MID
1 - 1
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
LEI
1 - 1
MID
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
MID
2 - 3
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |