Bristol City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1906 |
BRI
2 - 1
CHL
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
BUR
0 - 1
BRI
9%
16%
75%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1906 |
BRI
2 - 0
GRI
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1906 |
BRI
2 - 0
LEE
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1906 |
BRI
2 - 0
GAI
84%
10%
6%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1906 |
MUD
6 - 0
BUR
94%
5%
2%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1906 |
LIN
2 - 3
MUD
25%
25%
51%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
LEE
1 - 3
MUD
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1906 |
MUD
2 - 0
GAI
89%
8%
4%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1906 |
MUD
1 - 0
BUR
89%
8%
3%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |