Bristol City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 1
SCU
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BPO
1 - 1
BRI
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 3
BRI
25%
25%
51%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 2
QPR
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BRI
3 - 1
ROT
74%
18%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 0
MUD
14%
23%
63%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 0
DER
59%
23%
17%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
WHU
0 - 2
MAC
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
TOT
2 - 1
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |