Bristol City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
BPO
1 - 1
BRI
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
DON
1 - 1
BRI
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 0
BRI
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 4
SHW
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 1
BRI
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
LUT
1 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
BRE
2 - 0
LUT
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
WYC
0 - 3
LUT
27%
23%
50%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
LUT
1 - 1
DON
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
MKD
1 - 4
LUT
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |