FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Bristol City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRI
46%
28%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1994 |
BRI
0 - 0
STO
50%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1994 |
GRI
1 - 0
BRI
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Dec. 1993 |
BRI
1 - 4
NTT
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1993 |
WBA
0 - 1
BRI
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
OLD
0 - 3
LIV
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1994 |
LIV
3 - 3
MUD
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1994 |
IPS
1 - 2
LIV
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1993 |
LIV
1 - 1
WIM
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1993 |
SHE
0 - 0
LIV
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |