FA Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
Bristol City vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
BRI
2 - 0
NOR
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
ROT
1 - 1
BRI
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
HUR
0 - 2
BRI
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
BRI
6 - 2
CAM
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
STO
1 - 0
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
SOU
0 - 1
KIN
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
KIN
0 - 3
WOK
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
WOK
0 - 0
KIN
43%
24%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
KIN
2 - 3
DAG
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 2
KIN
66%
18%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |