Bristol City vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 1
BRI
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
BRI
4 - 1
SWA
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
BRI
5 - 0
NOT
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
BRI
2 - 0
POR
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 0
BRI
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
HAR
0 - 0
TRA
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
SHW
2 - 2
HAR
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
POS
3 - 4
HAR
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
RUS
1 - 1
HAR
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
HAR
3 - 0
STF
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |