Bristol City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 3
BIR
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
QPR
0 - 1
BRI
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
REA
0 - 1
BRI
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 0
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
STF
1 - 0
BRI
17%
20%
63%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SWA
2 - 3
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
DER
4 - 2
NOR
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
DER
4 - 0
STO
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
LUT
3 - 2
DER
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 0
DER
21%
22%
57%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |