Bristol City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
LEE
1 - 3
BRI
73%
18%
10%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1979 |
BRI
1 - 1
NTT
30%
29%
41%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
BRI
0 - 1
ARS
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
CRY
1 - 1
BRI
48%
28%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
BRI
1 - 1
MUD
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
DER
2 - 1
WBA
37%
27%
35%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
STO
3 - 2
DER
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
DER
1 - 3
ASV
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
TOT
1 - 0
DER
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1979 |
WOL
0 - 0
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |