Bristol City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
NEW
1 - 1
BRI
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
CHL
1 - 0
BRI
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
BRI
0 - 2
ARS
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
EVE
1 - 0
BRI
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
BRI
3 - 2
LEE
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
DER
0 - 1
EVE
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
DER
2 - 2
NOR
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
BIR
3 - 1
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
DER
1 - 1
WBA
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
NEW
1 - 2
DER
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |