Bristol City vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 0
COV
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 0
AFC
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
POS
0 - 3
BRI
44%
25%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 1
PNE
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 0
BRI
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 1
CHE
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 2
SCU
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 1
CRA
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
GIL
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
YEO
1 - 0
CRA
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |