Bristol City vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 1
BRI
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 0
BRA
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2005 |
TRA
0 - 1
BRI
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
HUR
2 - 2
BRI
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
BRI
2 - 0
POS
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 4
WRE
47%
25%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
WAL
3 - 0
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 2
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
MKD
1 - 1
CHE
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
WRE
3 - 1
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |