Bristol City vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
HUR
1 - 0
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2001 |
BRI
2 - 0
TRA
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
POS
4 - 1
BRI
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 2
BRI
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
BRI
3 - 1
COL
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
CHE
0 - 2
TRA
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2001 |
HUR
0 - 0
CHE
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
CHE
4 - 0
SWI
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
CHE
3 - 2
WRE
44%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 2
CHE
42%
28%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |