Bristol City vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 2
MID
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 0
BHA
66%
20%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
OLD
0 - 3
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
COV
0 - 2
BRI
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
BRI
3 - 2
TRA
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
GIL
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
SCU
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
HUR
2 - 0
CHE
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
CRE
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
BRA
2 - 2
CHE
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |