Bristol City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
DER
0 - 1
BRI
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1979 |
BRI
2 - 0
QPR
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1979 |
BRI
2 - 1
BIR
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
NOR
3 - 0
BRI
60%
24%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
BRI
1 - 1
MID
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
CHL
1 - 3
NTT
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
CHL
1 - 1
DER
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
NTT
6 - 0
CHL
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
CHL
1 - 2
WOL
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
CHL
1 - 3
QPR
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |