Bristol City vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
BHA
2 - 1
BRI
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
BRI
3 - 3
REA
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
BOU
1 - 3
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 1
BRI
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
NOT
2 - 0
BRI
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
BCF
2 - 0
BRE
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 0
BCF
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
BCF
1 - 1
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
BHA
2 - 1
BCF
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
BCF
0 - 4
NOT
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |