Bristol City vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
BRA
3 - 1
BRI
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1909 |
BRI
1 - 0
MAC
50%
22%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 1
BRI
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 0
BRI
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
BRI
2 - 4
SUN
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 0
BCF
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
BCF
4 - 2
SHW
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
LIV
2 - 2
BCF
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1909 |
NTT
0 - 2
BCF
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 0
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |