Bristol City vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GIL
1 - 1
BRI
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 1
CRY
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MKD
2 - 2
BRI
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 2
WOL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
COV
5 - 4
BRI
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BRO
1 - 0
NOR
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRO
3 - 2
YOR
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRO
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BRO
0 - 0
SCU
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
BRO
1 - 3
WAT
20%
23%
58%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |