EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-1
Bristol City vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
GRI
1 - 1
BRI
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
WYC
2 - 0
BRI
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
BRI
2 - 0
CHE
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
BRI
3 - 1
PLY
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
YOR
0 - 3
BRI
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
BRO
1 - 1
PLY
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
BRO
1 - 2
ROT
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
BPO
3 - 2
BRO
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
BRO
1 - 0
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
CRE
1 - 0
BRO
62%
21%
16%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |