Bristol City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
QPR
1 - 2
BRI
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
REA
3 - 1
BRI
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 0
WAT
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 0
DER
52%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 2
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BIR
0 - 0
MIL
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
LUT
1 - 1
BIR
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
COV
0 - 0
BIR
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 3
BOU
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |