Bristol City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
57.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
CRY
1 - 0
BRI
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BRI
1 - 2
POS
36%
26%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BPO
5 - 0
BRI
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 3
REA
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BRI
1 - 1
HUL
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
BRU
1 - 2
BIR
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BIR
2 - 0
LEI
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NTT
1 - 3
BIR
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
BIR
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BIR
1 - 1
BAR
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |