Bristol City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
EVE
0 - 0
BRI
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 3
BRI
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
BOL
1 - 2
BRI
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
BRI
2 - 2
BBU
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
MUD
2 - 1
BRI
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 0
BIR
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
0 - 0
NOT
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
2 - 1
MAC
52%
21%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
2 - 1
SHW
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 1
BIR
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |