Bristol City vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
BRI
4 - 2
POR
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
BOU
2 - 0
BRI
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
HUR
1 - 0
BRI
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 0
DON
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
SHW
2 - 3
BRI
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
CUM
1 - 3
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 2
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRO
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
DAG
2 - 0
BAR
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |