Brisbane Strikers vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.6%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
84.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Strikers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
BRI
3 - 2
MZA
65%
17%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 1
WES
88%
8%
4%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 0
MAN
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MAG
0 - 11
BRI
12%
15%
73%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BRI
4 - 1
OLY
28%
20%
53%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +4 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
MCI
3 - 0
WES
46%
24%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
MCI
4%
11%
85%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 3
MCI
4%
10%
86%
|
72 | 33 | 39 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 3
MCI
5%
11%
84%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
OAK
3 - 4
MCI
4%
11%
85%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |