Brisbane Roar vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
10º
12º
13º
21
6º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
11º
|
65% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 8% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 29% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SYD
3 - 4
BRI
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MCI
1 - 0
BRI
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
BRI
0 - 1
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
BRI
1 - 3
CCM
23%
24%
52%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 0
BRI
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
WES
0 - 1
AFC
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 23 | 48 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
WES
1 - 3
CCM
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
PER
1 - 2
WES
21%
22%
57%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
MEL
2 - 2
WES
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
WES
2 - 3
MFC
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |