Brisbane Roar vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
10º
9º
21
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 12.5% |
|
Next round
|
27.5% | 72.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 1
PER
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 2
BRI
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WPH
5 - 2
BRI
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
SYD
35%
27%
37%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
BRI
43%
26%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 1
WES
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
WES
2 - 0
PER
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
WES
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WES
5 - 0
WUF
47%
25%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WES
0 - 0
WPH
51%
24%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |