Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
BRI
0 - 0
MUA
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
BRI
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MCI
2 - 2
BRI
55%
22%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
SHA
0 - 2
BRI
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
BRI
0 - 0
SYD
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
WPH
1 - 5
MCI
26%
27%
46%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
SYD
3 - 1
WPH
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
WPH
1 - 3
WES
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ADE
2 - 2
WPH
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
WPH
0 - 1
BRI
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |