Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 1
KAA
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PER
3 - 1
BRI
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
5 - 1
CCM
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 0
MEL
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
WPH
1 - 1
SYD
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 3
WPH
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
WPH
5 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
WES
3 - 1
WPH
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WPH
3 - 3
PER
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |