Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 3
SUW
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SYD
5 - 4
BRI
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 0
WES
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
URA
0 - 1
BRI
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PER
2 - 2
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PER
1 - 2
WPH
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
WPH
2 - 0
ADE
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 3
WPH
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
WPH
2 - 2
NEW
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
WPH
0 - 0
MCI
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |