Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
BRI
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 2
ADE
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 3
BRI
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
SYD
2 - 5
BRI
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
BRI
0 - 2
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WPH
5 - 0
MEL
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
WPH
1 - 1
CCM
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
WES
1 - 3
WPH
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 1
WPH
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
WPH
1 - 0
SYD
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |