Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SYD
2 - 1
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 2
CCM
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
PER
0 - 1
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 2
WES
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRI
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CCM
5 - 0
WPH
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
WPH
1 - 0
PER
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
WPH
1 - 1
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SYD
7 - 1
WPH
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
WPH
0 - 2
WES
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |