Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
CCM
3 - 3
BRI
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
1 - 1
PER
54%
23%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
ADE
0 - 1
BRI
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
BRI
2 - 2
GOL
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 2
BRI
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
WPH
4 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CCM
1 - 0
WPH
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
WPH
2 - 0
MEL
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 1
WPH
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
WPH
4 - 0
NEW
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |