Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BRI
1 - 0
SYD
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
GOL
0 - 0
BRI
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
BRI
1 - 2
EVE
23%
27%
50%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
PER
2 - 0
BRI
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ADE
2 - 0
BRI
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
WPH
2 - 0
CCM
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
WPH
3 - 3
GOL
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
WPH
2 - 1
BOC
33%
24%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
ADE
2 - 0
WPH
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SYD
4 - 2
WPH
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |