Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 1
MEL
40%
25%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
ADE
0 - 2
BRI
46%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 1
NEW
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SYD
2 - 1
BRI
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 3
CCM
51%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
WPH
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
WPH
1 - 1
PER
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
WPH
3 - 0
NEW
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SYD
3 - 1
WPH
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
WPH
6 - 0
GOL
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |