Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
ADE
0 - 1
BRI
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
BRI
3 - 3
PER
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 1
BRI
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
CCM
0 - 1
BRI
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 1
WPH
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
PER
0 - 1
WPH
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ADE
4 - 1
WPH
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
WPH
1 - 2
CCM
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 1
WPH
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 1
WPH
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |