Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 4
ADE
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 0
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 2
NEW
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 0
BRI
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ARM
2 - 4
PER
11%
15%
74%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SYD
7 - 1
PER
65%
20%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PER
3 - 4
WUF
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MCI
8 - 0
PER
64%
20%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PER
2 - 4
ADE
33%
24%
42%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |