Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
BRI
3 - 1
WES
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 1
BRI
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CCM
0 - 1
BRI
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BRI
3 - 0
MEL
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 0
BRI
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PER
1 - 2
CCM
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
PER
1 - 1
ADE
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
WPH
1 - 1
PER
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PER
1 - 0
SYD
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PER
1 - 0
MEL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |