Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
BRI
2 - 2
CCM
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 5
BRI
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BRI
2 - 1
SYD
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
PER
0 - 2
BRI
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 3
PER
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
PER
1 - 2
SYD
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2006 |
NZK
1 - 4
PER
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
PER
1 - 2
ADE
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
PER
0 - 2
BRI
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |