Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
10º
9º
13
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
27.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
SYD
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
MCI
8 - 1
BRI
58%
22%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 3
CCM
31%
26%
44%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
WUF
2 - 1
BRI
32%
26%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ADE
0 - 2
BRI
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 0
WUF
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
ADE
3 - 1
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
WPH
0 - 3
NEW
62%
21%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |