Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
10º
9º
13
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
27.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 0
BRI
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
MFC
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SYD
1 - 1
BRI
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 2
MEL
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
SYD
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
0 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
ADE
33%
25%
43%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PER
2 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
CCM
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |