Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
10º
9º
13
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
27.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 0
BRI
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
MFC
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SYD
1 - 1
BRI
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 2
MEL
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
SYD
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
0 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
ADE
33%
25%
43%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PER
2 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
CCM
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |