Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 1
WPH
32%
25%
44%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
MCI
4 - 1
BRI
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 3
SYD
18%
24%
59%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
BRI
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 4
WES
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PER
1 - 0
NEW
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 2
WES
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
WPH
4 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 3
CCM
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
0 - 2
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |